Mt. Vernon (Fortville)
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #35
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #12
Rushville Regional Rank #2
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 11th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Arabian Roundup Rushville Invitational Marion Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational Muncie Central Invitational Hancock County Golden Bear Invitational Hoosier Heritage Conference Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/16 8/26 8/29 9/5 9/12 9/15 9/22 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24
Team Rating 486 443 475 560 503 609 595 494 460 523 531 539 498
Team Adjusted Rating 443 452 560 457 521 498 494 460 523 486 497 498
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Arabian Roundup Rushville Invitational Marion Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational Muncie Central Invitational Hancock County Golden Bear Invitational Hoosier Heritage Conference Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
174  Austin Rush 11 16:53 17:24 16:57 16:53 16:39 16:53 17:17 16:59 16:46 16:58 16:42 16:54 16:57
294  Colin Strachman 9 17:12 17:05 17:08 17:14 17:05 17:10 17:08 17:11 17:28 17:16
297  Evan Rappe 12 17:12 17:11 16:43 17:29 16:59 17:20 16:56 16:57 17:10 17:29 17:35
354  Reyce Morgan 11 17:20 17:18 17:21 18:05 17:25 17:39 17:22 17:19 17:06 17:20 17:18 17:17 17:13
418  Tyler Strantz 12 17:30 16:59 17:23 17:28 17:54 17:34 17:48 17:41 17:25 17:17
598  Sam Wilson 11 17:50 17:03 17:46 18:12 17:54 17:52 18:11 18:03 17:45 17:41 17:46 17:50 17:48
665  Colin Brown 12 17:55 18:00 17:46 17:56 17:43 18:03 18:05
716  Joseph Blagrave 11 18:01 18:48 18:09 18:10 18:18 17:51 17:44 17:53
742  Brayden Stamm 12 18:03 18:36 18:07 18:18 18:12 18:09 18:45 18:06 17:48 17:55 17:49 17:59
1,146  Carson Collingsworth 12 18:36 19:07 18:26 18:33 18:08 18:44 18:45 18:36
Jackson Champion 11 19:18 19:10 19:01 18:54 18:52 22:30 20:08
Jackson Dayhoff 9 19:23 20:12 19:22 19:25 18:40 20:35 18:59




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 11.7 349 0.1 0.6 1.9 19.6 32.0 18.7 12.5 7.9 4.9 1.5 0.4 0.2
Regionals 100% 2.1 64 1.3 89.0 8.1 1.6 0.1
Sectionals 100% 2.1 54 1.7 87.6 8.8 2.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Austin Rush 2.7% 96.5 2.7% 2.7%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Austin Rush 100% 57.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 100.0%
Colin Strachman 100% 87.6 98.9%
Evan Rappe 100% 87.6 99.0%
Reyce Morgan 100% 99.2 95.0%
Tyler Strantz 100% 110.7 82.1%
Sam Wilson 100% 132.2 26.1%
Joseph Blagrave 100% 142.4 6.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Austin Rush 100% 4.9 1.1 1.9 11.8 17.9 19.9 12.8 9.7 8.4 4.9 3.7 2.4 1.8 1.3 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Colin Strachman 100% 12.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 2.3 4.5 4.9 5.9 7.0 8.6 7.4 7.5 7.7 7.4 5.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 3.4 2.8 2.6 1.7 1.7 1.0 0.8 100.0%
Evan Rappe 100% 12.5 0.2 1.0 2.0 4.6 5.3 5.6 7.2 7.3 6.9 6.7 7.1 6.0 6.9 5.7 5.0 4.9 4.5 2.9 2.6 1.9 1.6 1.3 1.2 100.0%
Reyce Morgan 100% 17.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.9 1.8 2.7 3.5 4.1 4.4 4.9 6.5 5.7 6.3 6.2 6.5 7.1 6.3 3.9 4.9 5.1 3.6 3.0 100.0%
Tyler Strantz 100% 22.9 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.6 2.3 3.5 3.1 3.7 4.4 4.4 5.9 5.8 6.4 6.3 6.2 5.8 100.0%
Sam Wilson 100% 34.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.1 1.2 1.5 2.0 100.0%
Joseph Blagrave 100% 39.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Austin Rush 3.9 1.0 3.4 19.4 30.3 15.0 11.9 7.6 5.5 3.0 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1
Colin Strachman 9.1 0.1 0.6 1.7 6.0 9.3 10.5 10.2 10.8 10.2 9.4 8.6 6.0 4.7 4.4 3.0 2.6 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
Evan Rappe 9.3 0.1 0.2 2.2 7.3 8.0 8.8 9.8 10.4 11.2 10.3 8.3 7.3 5.5 3.3 3.1 1.7 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1
Reyce Morgan 12.4 0.4 1.4 1.7 3.4 5.2 6.5 8.1 9.6 9.9 9.2 10.3 9.6 7.6 5.2 4.2 3.4 2.0 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.2
Tyler Strantz 16.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.8 2.2 3.7 5.1 6.8 8.4 9.2 10.8 10.0 10.3 9.0 6.8 5.3 3.7 2.6 1.4 1.1
Sam Wilson 22.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.8 2.1 3.5 6.3 7.8 10.0 9.8 13.4 12.3 11.7
Joseph Blagrave 25.8 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.3 2.2 2.7 4.3 6.6 8.6 11.8